How Will a Grexit Impact the European Energy Markets?

Friday, 03 July 2015

Greece’s rapid descent into economic turmoil amid unprecedented debt levels has roiled global markets and left politicians in Greece and Europe scrambling for last-minute solutions.

Having failed to pay a bailout tranche of €1.5bn on Tuesday, and preparing for an uncertain referendum on a new austerity package, Greece could soon take a step into the unknown, leaving the Eurozone and possibly the EU, notes ICIS in a latest report.

All eyes are on the spill-over effect on Greece’s neighbours and its impact on the energy sector. The value of the Euro slumped against the Pound as uncertainty over the impact of a Grexit on the Eurozone’s economy weighed on the single currency. At the start of this week, a downwards move ensued in the British gas market as traders backed by euros retreated from the market. Volatility hit the European emissions market on Monday, with higher traded volumes reflecting concerns over a Grexit.

On Monday all banks closed, triggering major concerns over Greek companies being able to make
payments for electricity delivered and leaving companies looking to strike deals with foreign counterparties in a limb. If more foreign companies start to reel in the risk and exports into Greece weaken, the system could face some tightness. So far the pool price has not been volatile with weak consumption keeping any strength at bay. But if the temperatures begin rising, the country stands exposed tomajor spike prices.

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